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PREMIER LEAGUE MATCHDAY TIPS: 5-6 OCT
- PREMIER LEAGUE MATCHDAY TIPS: 5-6 OCT
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PREMIER LEAGUE MATCHDAY TIPS: 5-6 OCT
StrumSolo > 04/10/2013, 12:59
SATURDAY
Man City v Everton
Everton have won their last 3 league games, and City have lost their previous 2 in all competitions. You can see why City are still 8/13 for the win, and they’ll probably get it, but those odds aren’t tempting me. 9/2 on an Everton win looks more appealing, if a little ambitious. Lukaku at 8/1 for the first goal though? Might be worth a quid or two.
Prediction: 2-1
Cardiff v Newcastle
The home side are 11/8 for the win here versus Newcastle at 2/1. Cardiff have looked the more solid of the two sides and are in better form, but there’s only 1 point separating them in the table and if they catch the Magpies on a good day they could run in to some problems. The draw at 23/10 looks good value to me, and if you go for a 1-1 it’s 13/2. Remy first goalscorer at 6/1 looks a good shout too.
Prediction: 1-1
Fulham v Stoke
They both seem to be having a nightmare at the moment, especially Fulham, who are yet to win at home this season. A Stoke win at 9/4 looks reasonable. The Cottagers have also been shipping a lot of late goals so Stoke to score between 75 mins and FT at 3/1 might be worth a go too.
Prediction: 2-2
Hull v Aston Villa
The KC is proving to be a bit of a fortress for Hull and they’ve won 2 of their 3 games there so far, drawing the other. Villa have been a bit hot and cold lately and 19/10 for them to win isn’t doing it for me. A Hull and Draw Double Chance at 1.38 looks a bit more tempting but I’ll be steering clear of this one I think.
Prediction: 1-0
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Not much value to be had here, obviously. Though £10 on Suarez to score first and Liverpool to win seems plausible and will return £47. A 4-0 win for the Scousers at 10/1 might be worth a look too.
Prediction: 3-0
Sunderland v Man Utd
Struggling to think of a good reason to back Utd at 3/5 given the current mess, but if you pushed me I suppose a game against Sunderland would be one. The draw at 3/1 doesn’t seem outlandish, but you can keep the home side at 9/2. If we’re predicting scores, 1-0 to United at 7/1 looks reasonable.
Prediction: 0-1
SUNDAY
Norwich v Chelsea
I feel as though home advantage is distorting this a bit much. Chelsea at 4/7 for the win looks like safe money to me. Norwich haven’t been scoring many either so 0-2 at 7/1 or 0-3 at 11s are probably worth a look as well. Don’t fancy any of the first scorer odds for Chelsea though, particularly Eto’o at 4/1, they’ve got too many players who know where the goal is.
Prediction: 0-2
Southampton v Swansea
Given the home side’s current form, and the fact that Swansea are coming off the back of a midweek Europa League game, Southampton at evens for the win seems generous to me. The Saints’ have kept 4 consecutive clean sheets in the league but haven’t been scoring loads, so 1-0 at 7/1 looks sensible. 6/1 for Dani Osvaldo first scorer might be worth a look after he netted his first Premier League goal last weekend.
Prediction: 1-0
Tottenham v West Ham
Not much here for me. A Spurs win seems more than likely and odds of 2/5 reflect that. BTTS at evens might be worth a go if you’re itching for a punt, but bear in mind West Ham’s awful scoring record so far this season. If you do fancy the Hammers though, a West Ham and Draw Double Chance at 2.88 seems fair.
Prediction: 3-1
West Brom v Arsenal
A quid each on Ozil and Ramsey to score first (both 8/1) is tempting, and with West Brom finding a bit of form, and their shooting boots, the draw at 11/4 isn’t unreasonable either. The sensible money has to be on an Arsenal win at 4/5 though. Goals are obviously expected, just 3/5 on the BTTS, so a 1-2 final score at 8/1 might be a decent alternative.
Prediction: 1-2
ACCUMULATOR: Stoke, Man Utd, Southampton, Tottenham and Arsenal wins for me. £5 stake, £131 return, fingers crossed...
Where's your money going this weekend?
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RE: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS & ACCUMULATORS
RussyRover > 05/10/2013, 13:34
Did you put cash on it??? I went for Everton with a +1 on the Asian Handicap (@ 5/6), so a draw will do me nicely, and even if they lose by a goal, I get me cash back...
Typical, just as I write City go 1 goal ahead!!!!
For any betting novice out there, and who want to play the handicap markets for football, then always use the Asian Handicap market as this will give you your money back as a void bet if you meet but don't win the criteria, so +1 and they lose by one means money back...
The 'normal' handicap markets many bookies offer do not do this, if you do not WIN your bet you lose.... Bastards aren't they... -
RE: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS & ACCUMULATORS
StrumSolo > 05/10/2013, 13:46
No, not done any yet this weekend.
And now I'm on such an impressive run (2-1 is ON!) the worry is that i'll start getting cocky... -
RE: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS & ACCUMULATORS
RussyRover > 05/10/2013, 14:14
lol, stick to small stakes as I do, the money is nice if you win, but a flutter just seems to make the game that more interesting....
Also gone with Stoke with a +0.25 Asian Handicap over Fulham... that's the 0.0, +0.5 as it's known, slightly better odds than the full +0.5 handicap, but if it's a draw half the bet is voided and you only win from half your stake, where the +0.5 you would win with all your stake but at lower odds....
They try to make betting awfully complicated don't they!!! -
RE: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS & ACCUMULATORS
StrumSolo > 05/10/2013, 14:26
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RE: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS & ACCUMULATORS
RussyRover > 05/10/2013, 14:47
(05/10/2013, 14:26)ScottyRampant Wrote:
(05/10/2013, 14:14)RussyRover Wrote: They try to make betting awfully complicated don't they!!!
Yep! I suppose the handicaps minimise the risk but overall are you better off doing them or keeping it simple and fluking the odd big win?
It depends on the game and the odds offered, for example if the bookies think it's a close result, you may get 7/5 - 8/5 - 6/4 say for the win - draw - win result but if you play just one you have 2 against you... If you play the handicap markets then in the same game you do 1 bet but get 2 outcomes covered, for lower odds of course but usually still better than covering 2 outcomes separately.
You can also play the 'Draw No Bet' which is also the 0.0 on the Asian Handicap, also lower odds and as suggests, your money back if it's a draw, but again gives some insurance on your cash...
The bookies like you to keep it simple and just play the win - draw - win outcomes as it maximises their profits...
2 other outcomes you can play without even caring who wins or not are the 'Both Teams To Score' and the Overs and Unders in the goal markets, usually most common is the over/under 2.5 goals...
These make good accumulators too with some bookies such as Betfred offering enhanced terms but they don't include all games, usually taking out the most favourable ones !!! again, Bastards aren't they...
and lastly, instead of betting 'For' something, you can use the exchanges such as Betfair to bet 'Against' an outcome or 'Lay' as it's known...
So if you put a lay on say Everton in todays match, if they lose or even draw you win..... more useful when there are 3 outcomes again... but you tend to play at higher odds on the exchanges as you bet against other bettors, not the company itself...
So if it all sounds complicated and that's just a fraction of what you can do, you may be better off just punting for the Wins and let your luck ride... -
RE: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS & ACCUMULATORS
StrumSolo > 05/10/2013, 16:03
(05/10/2013, 14:47)RussyRover Wrote:
(05/10/2013, 14:26)ScottyRampant Wrote:
(05/10/2013, 14:14)RussyRover Wrote: They try to make betting awfully complicated don't they!!!
Yep! I suppose the handicaps minimise the risk but overall are you better off doing them or keeping it simple and fluking the odd big win?
It depends on the game and the odds offered, for example if the bookies think it's a close result, you may get 7/5 - 8/5 - 6/4 say for the win - draw - win result but if you play just one you have 2 against you... If you play the handicap markets then in the same game you do 1 bet but get 2 outcomes covered, for lower odds of course but usually still better than covering 2 outcomes separately.
You can also play the 'Draw No Bet' which is also the 0.0 on the Asian Handicap, also lower odds and as suggests, your money back if it's a draw, but again gives some insurance on your cash...
The bookies like you to keep it simple and just play the win - draw - win outcomes as it maximises their profits...
2 other outcomes you can play without even caring who wins or not are the 'Both Teams To Score' and the Overs and Unders in the goal markets, usually most common is the over/under 2.5 goals...
These make good accumulators too with some bookies such as Betfred offering enhanced terms but they don't include all games, usually taking out the most favourable ones !!! again, Bastards aren't they...
and lastly, instead of betting 'For' something, you can use the exchanges such as Betfair to bet 'Against' an outcome or 'Lay' as it's known...
So if you put a lay on say Everton in todays match, if they lose or even draw you win..... more useful when there are 3 outcomes again... but you tend to play at higher odds on the exchanges as you bet against other bettors, not the company itself...
So if it all sounds complicated and that's just a fraction of what you can do, you may be better off just punting for the Wins and let your luck ride...
Good stuff Russy, and my brain isn't overly melting either...
And the feeling of getting one over on them bastard bookies, beating them at their own convoluted game, is half the fun isn't it.
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RE: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS & ACCUMULATORS
StrumSolo > 06/10/2013, 07:56
SUNDAY
Norwich v Chelsea
I feel as though home advantage is distorting this a bit much. Chelsea at 4/7 for the win looks like safe money to me. Norwich haven’t been scoring many either so 0-2 at 7/1 or 0-3 at 11s are probably worth a look as well. Don’t fancy any of the first scorer odds for Chelsea though, particularly Eto’o at 4/1, they’ve got too many players who know where the goal is.
Prediction: 0-2
Southampton v Swansea
Given the home side’s current form, and the fact that Swansea are coming off the back of a midweek Europa League game, Southampton at evens for the win seems generous to me. The Saints’ have kept 4 consecutive clean sheets in the league but haven’t been scoring loads, so 1-0 at 7/1 looks sensible. 6/1 for Dani Osvaldo first scorer might be worth a look after he netted his first Premier League goal last weekend.
Prediction: 1-0
Tottenham v West Ham
Not much here for me. A Spurs win seems more than likely and odds of 2/5 reflect that. BTTS at evens might be worth a go if you’re itching for a punt, but bear in mind West Ham’s awful scoring record so far this season. If you do fancy the Hammers though, a West Ham and Draw Double Chance at 2.88 seems fair.
Prediction: 3-1
West Brom v Arsenal
A quid each on Ozil and Ramsey to score first (both 8/1) is tempting, and with West Brom finding a bit of form, and their shooting boots, the draw at 11/4 isn’t unreasonable either. The sensible money has to be on an Arsenal win at 4/5 though. Goals are obviously expected, just 3/5 on the BTTS, so a 1-2 final score at 8/1 might be a decent alternative.
Prediction: 1-2
Where's your money going this weekend?
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RE: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS & ACCUMULATORS
RussyRover > 06/10/2013, 12:44
(05/10/2013, 16:03)ScottyRampant Wrote: And the feeling of getting one over on them bastard bookies, beating them at their own convoluted game, is half the fun isn't it.
That's it Scotty, getting one over on the bookies is half the fun, although with all the corruption in sport and shenanigans with Bookies and Trainers / Individuals etc.. in various sports you gotta wonder exactly how fair you are being treated!!!
Still as long as you keep it fun, that's OK, I wouldn't like to do it for real as some professionals do, mind with my record, there's no fear of that :)