Ludogorets v Liverpool
Can't be going anywhere near the Liverpool win at 20/21. That's not to say they haven't got the quality to get a result, or that Brendan Rodgers wouldn't be a dead man walking if they failed to; it's just not much of an incentive on current form is it? 12/5 on the away win to nil is the closest we're getting to any sort of value here, but the state of their defence makes even that a riskier punt than the odds suggest. Assuming Borini starts, 15/8 on him scoring any time is probably as good as it gets with this one.
Prediction: 1-2 (8/1)
Arsenal v Dortmund
After 12 games of the Bundesliga season, Dortmund sit 3rd bottom with just 11 points. So Arsenal, by comparison, are bloody flying. Jurgen Klopp's side do have a 100% record in the Champions League though, and seeing as this is a Champions League game we should probably concentrate on that. It's all pretty tight in the outrights. 6/4 the home win, 7/4 the away and 13/5 for the draw. Given the Gunners' fragility at the moment that's probably the best they can hope for, decent value too. Might be some joy to be had with 3.5+ match goals at 6/4 too. All about Sanchez in the scorers obviously; he's 9/2 to get the first or 11/8 any time.
Prediction: 2-2 (11/1)
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