I can see Chelsea reaching the final, but not before a bit of a scare in the first leg tonight. Atletico are 4/5 for the win outright, and
might even be worth a go with a -1 handicap at 23/10, though that is probably pushing it. Better off with the home win and Costa to score (9/4) I reckon.
Speaking of Costa, he's 3/1 to get the first and 7/2 to get 2 or more. Both seem realistic enough, and certainly better value than Torres at 5/2 any time, even if he is up against his former club.
If you do fancy Chelsea, then you can't say fairer than 4/1 for the win, and at 20/21 the double chance isn't bad either. All seems a bit far-fetched though really...
Prediction: 2-1 (15/2)
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